Models

Regime-driven
macro analysis.

Multi-pillar growth, inflation, and liquidity composites feed into a 4-regime classifier that drives dynamic portfolio allocation.

Financial Conditions

Free

Measures the tightness or looseness of financial markets as a gating mechanism for economic activity. When financial conditions are restrictive, even strong fundamentals struggle to translate into growth.

Gating signalCredit cycle

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Decision & Capex

Standard

Tracks capital expenditure intentions from both traditional industrial firms and major technology companies. Rising capex signals confidence in future demand and a willingness to invest in productive capacity.

Capex cycleLeading

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Input Acquisition

Standard

Monitors the demand for raw materials and intermediate goods that flow into production. Rising input acquisition signals that manufacturers and builders expect growing end-demand.

Supply chainCommodities

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Production

Standard

Measures actual industrial output and manufacturing activity. This is the confirmation signal that earlier capex decisions and input acquisitions are translating into real economic production.

CoincidentIndustrial

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Distribution

Standard

Tracks the movement of finished goods through the logistics network to end consumers. Rising freight volumes and expenditures confirm that produced goods are being shipped and sold.

LogisticsConfirmation

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