Built to adapt, not predict
Most frameworks either forecast the macro environment or ignore it. We measure it instead: a regime engine reads growth, inflation and liquidity to classify one of eight states, and a momentum tournament picks the strongest names in each sleeve. No forecasts, no discretion.
What we do
Three dimensions decide which assets lead in any environment. We model all three.
Growth
Financial conditions, business investment, input acquisition, production and distribution.
Inflation
Demand pressure, pipeline costs, monetary conditions, expectations and services.
Liquidity
Central bank balance sheets, private credit, cross-border flows, shadow banking and funding stress.
The regime decides what kind of asset to favour. Momentum decides which names fill each sleeve. Signals update daily. The portfolio rebalances monthly, or straight away when the regime changes.
Our principles
Everything we build is guided by a few core beliefs about how macro analysis should work.
Rules-Based
No discretionary overrides. The regime classifies where we are. The tournament picks what to hold. The rules are fixed in advance, so the same conditions always produce the same output.
Transparent
We show our work. Every model output includes the underlying data and methodology. You can see exactly why the system is positioned the way it is and whether you agree with the logic.
Adaptive, Not Predictive
The system doesn't forecast the next regime. It reacts to confirmed conditions. When growth turns, when inflation accelerates, when liquidity contracts, the allocation shifts. No predictions required.
Global Perspective
Macro is a global phenomenon. Our models track global liquidity flows, cross-border credit conditions, international central bank balance sheets, and dollar funding markets.
Important disclaimer
MacroScope provides general information and analysis for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial, investment, tax or legal advice, and nothing on this site is a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any security, commodity, cryptocurrency or other financial instrument.
Regime classifications, signals, allocations and holdings describe a hypothetical model portfolio produced by fixed rules and published identically to every subscriber. They do not take into account your personal financial situation, objectives or risk tolerance, and they are not suitable for any particular person. MacroScope is not a licensed or registered investment adviser, broker or financial institution, and using the Service does not create an advisory or fiduciary relationship.
Performance figures are simulated. They apply the current model rules to past data, so they benefit from hindsight, and they do not reflect actual trading, taxes or real execution prices. Past performance, whether actual or simulated, does not guarantee future results. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of your entire investment. Models can be wrong and data can be late or inaccurate.
You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Consult a qualified, licensed professional before acting on any information from MacroScope. Our research disclosures, including conflicts of interest, are published at macroscopeapp.com/disclosures.
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