The debt defines the policy.
The policy defines the portfolio.
Sovereign debt has become the dominant constraint on monetary policy. We built a systematic framework that tracks the macro regime, measures liquidity, and allocates accordingly.
Regime Classifier
Classifies the macro environment into four regimes — Goldilocks, Reflation, Stagflation, or Deflation — based on growth and inflation composites. Liquidity state overlays as an allocation modifier.
A portfolio built for
the world we actually
live in.
We start from a structural thesis — the debt burden forces policy toward financial repression — and build a systematic allocation framework around it using growth, inflation, and liquidity signals.
Get started for freeStructural thesis: debt drives policy
The starting point is not a neutral framework — it is a thesis. Sovereign debt has reached a scale where policy must keep refinancing conditions manageable. This structurally favours hard assets like gold and bitcoin, which serve as permanent portfolio anchors regardless of regime.
Growth × Inflation regime
Growth pillars and inflation channels classify the macro environment into four regimes — Goldilocks, Reflation, Stagflation, or Deflation. The regime determines how the portfolio tilts around the structural core: heavier commodities in inflation, defensive cash in contraction, growth equity when conditions align.
Liquidity overlay
Liquidity pillars — spanning central bank balance sheets, private credit, cross-border flows, and shadow banking — produce a global liquidity impulse. In a debt refinancing economy, liquidity is the variable that matters most: it determines whether risk assets get a tailwind or face headwinds.
Systematic allocation with momentum safety
The regime and liquidity state together select the portfolio. A volatility-adjusted momentum filter acts as a circuit breaker — if an asset is in freefall, the system steps aside regardless of what the regime says. No discretionary overrides, no narrative bias.
Start free. Upgrade when
the thesis clicks.
No time limits on the free tier. Paid plans include a 3-day free trial — upgrade when you want the full macro picture or a ready-made portfolio signal built for the debt cycle.
Free
Start exploring our macro framework with a preview growth pillar, inflation channel, and liquidity pillar. See how we read the cycle. No card required.
Included
Standard
Full access to all growth pillars, inflation channels, and liquidity pillars. Understand the forces driving the debt refinancing economy. 3-day free trial included.
Included
Billed monthly
Premium
The full thesis in action. Composite signals, 4-regime classifier, fiscal stress indicators, and a ready-made portfolio allocation with momentum filter — built for the debt refinancing economy. 3-day free trial included.
Everything included
Cancel anytime · Billed monthly
Questions? See our FAQ
Common questions,
clear answers
Everything you need to know before getting started.
MacroScope starts from a structural thesis: sovereign debt has crossed a threshold where monetary policy is forced to optimize for refinancing conditions, not economic growth. We built a systematic framework around this reality — measuring growth, inflation, and liquidity through multi-indicator pillars and channels, classifying the macro regime, and generating a portfolio allocation that reflects both the structural thesis and the current cycle. Free and Standard tiers give you the individual pillars; Premium gives you the composites, regime classifier, and ready-made portfolio.
No. The free and standard tiers show you clear charts with explanations of what each pillar measures and why it matters in the context of the current macro environment. Each includes a collapsible explanation of the theory and key measurements. Premium goes further — it classifies the regime and produces a portfolio allocation so you do not need to interpret the data yourself. Whether you are new to macro or deeply experienced, the system is designed to be transparent about its logic.
Our models use publicly available macroeconomic, market, and financial data from institutional sources including the Federal Reserve, Treasury, and BLS. Each pillar aggregates multiple indicators into proprietary composites using our own normalization and weighting methodology. No paid terminal or data subscription is required on your end.
Most indicators update daily or weekly depending on the underlying data frequency. Economic releases like CPI and initial claims update as soon as new data is available. The regime classifier and portfolio allocation refresh regularly to reflect the latest macro conditions.
Standard gives you full access to all individual pillars and channels across growth, inflation, and liquidity — you see the data and form your own view. Premium adds the composite signals, regime classifier, fiscal stress indicators, and a portfolio allocation with a volatility-adjusted momentum filter. In short: Standard gives you the macro picture, Premium gives you the portfolio answer.
The debt burden is large enough that governments are structurally incentivised to suppress real interest rates — through financial repression, yield curve management, or monetization. Gold serves as an inflation and debasement hedge against this slow erosion. Bitcoin acts as a high-beta liquidity amplifier — it captures the upside when central banks are forced to expand liquidity to keep the refinancing machine running. Both reflect the structural direction of policy, which is why they are permanent portfolio anchors rather than tactical trades.
No. MacroScope is an analytical tool built around a specific macro thesis. We do not provide personalized financial advice. All portfolio signals are based on systematic models and should be used as one input in your own decision-making process. Always do your own research.
Yes. All paid plans start with a 3-day free trial and can be billed monthly or annually with no lock-in. Cancel during the trial and you will not be charged. Cancel after that before your next billing date and you keep access until the period ends.
If you are not satisfied within the first 14 days of a paid subscription, email us for a full refund — no questions asked. After 14 days, you can cancel at any time and your access continues until the billing period ends.
Still have questions? Contact us →